by Calculated Risk on 5/24/2022 12:16:00 PM
From the National Center for Health Statistics: Births: Provisional Data for 2021. The NCHS reports:
The general fertility rate was 56.6 births per 1,000 women aged 15-44, up 1% from 2020 and the first increase in the rate since 2014. The total fertility rate was 1,663.5 births per 1,000 women in 2021, up 1% from 2020. Birth rates declined for women in age groups 15-24, rose for women in age groups 25-49, and was unchanged for adolescents aged 10-14 in 2021. The birth rate for teenagers aged 15-19 declined by 6% in 2021 to 14.4 births per 1,000 females; rates declined for both younger (aged 15-17) and older (aged 18-19) teenagers.
Here is a long-term graph of annual U.S. births through 2021.
Births had declined for six consecutive years following increases in 2013 and 2014.
Note the amazing decline in teenage births.
With fewer births, and less net migration, demographics are not as favorable as once expected.
There is much more in the report.