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Euro slides to 20-year low against the dollar as recession fears build

A euro currency symbol sits on display in the visitor centre at the European Central Bank (ECB) building in Frankfurt, Germany.
Alex Kraus | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The euro fell to its lowest level in two decades on Tuesday, sliding over 1% for the session to hit $1.0283.

It comes as fears of a recession in the euro zone ramp up, as gas prices soar and the Ukraine war shows no signs of abating.

Euro zone inflation hit a record 8.6% in June, prompting the European Central Bank to give markets advance notice of its intention to hike interest rates for the first time in 11 years at its July meeting.

However, growing fears of a recession may limit the central bank’s capacity to tighten monetary policy. The July Sentix Economic Index on Monday showed investor morale across the 19-country euro zone has plunged to its lowest level since May 2020, pointing toward an “inevitable” recession.

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Record-high inflation in Europe has been abetted by skyrocketing gas prices over recent months.

Natural gas prices in Europe on Monday extended their relentless rise, climbing to highs not seen since early March as planned strikes in Norway added to market woes about Russian supply cuts. The front-month gas price at the Dutch TTF hub, a European benchmark for natural gas trading, was last seen trading up 7.8% to hit 175.5 euros ($180.8) per megawatt-hour.

All of these factors have converged to hit the euro hard. The currency of the euro zone has lost over 9% of its value against the dollar since the start of the year.

The dollar’s strength continues, meanwhile, as risk-averse investors seek a safe haven, and the U.S. Federal Reserve embarks upon what looks to be an aggressive rate hike regime.

After raising benchmark interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point in June, Fed Chair Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank could raise interest rates by a similar magnitude next month.

— CNBC’s Sam Meredith contributed to this report

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